Biospheric processes forecasting by the means of synergetics

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32347/2411-4049.2018.4.56-64

Keywords:

synergetics, biosphere, forecast, modeling, chaos, population

Abstract

Among the most pressing problems of modernity stands out the problem of determining the causes and limits of sustainability of complex ecosystems, consisting of a huge number of components. Such systems include organisms and the biosphere with its ecosystems. Under the conditions of a global ecological crisis, the survival of humanity depends on our ability to understand and predict the behavior of ecosystems and the biosphere itself.
Such forecast is a specific kind of perception, which, first, studies not what is happening, but what will be happening. The main purpose of the forecast is assessment of predicted environmental reaction to the direct or indirect human influence, as well as addressing the challenges of the future sustainable use of natural resources. We have developed methodical approaches to the biospheric processes evaluation with the help of synergestic approach are developed.

Author Biographies

S.I. Azarov, Institute for Nuclear Research of NASU, Kyiv

D. S., Senior Research Associate

O.S. Zadunaj, State Research Institute of Special Communications and Information Protection, Kyiv

Head of the Center, Postgraduate

References

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Haken, H. (1985). Synergetics: The hierarchy of instabilities in self-organizing systems and devices. Moscow: Mir (in Russian).

Prigogine, I. (1985). From Being To Becoming (J. L. Klimantovich, Ed.). Moscow: Nauka (in Russian).

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Prigogine, I., & Stengers, I. (1999). Time, Chaos and the Quantum. Moscow: «Progress» (in Russian).

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Published

2018-12-19

How to Cite

Azarov, S., & Zadunaj, O. (2018). Biospheric processes forecasting by the means of synergetics. Environmental Safety and Natural Resources, 28(4), 56–64. https://doi.org/10.32347/2411-4049.2018.4.56-64